The reflex is understandable: When the conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran escalates, companies first look at the price of oil. But this view is too narrow. For geopolitical escalation rarely affects supply chains solely through energy prices. It affects networks, decisions, and the ability to ensure operational stability amid uncertainty. The Strait of…
Anyone looking at the Strait of Hormuz today and thinking to themselves, “Another supply chain crisis already,” is missing the point. This is precisely one of the most dangerous misconceptions of 2026: the notion that the current situation can be managed using the routines from 2021. 2021 was primarily a crisis of overload. The pandemic…
The statement “Hormuz is not a news topic – it is a KPI” seems provocative at first. In reality, it is highly practical. Companies cannot control geopolitical tensions, but they can control their own responsiveness. The Strait of Hormuz is a good example of this. The EIA and IEA describe it as one of the…
Anyone responsible for delivery, procurement, production, or customer service in business practice knows the temptation to reassure oneself: as long as an issue appears clean in the reporting, it seems controllable. However, it is precisely this logic that is increasingly reaching its limits. The current situation is characterized by three simultaneous shifts: increased security and…
Many companies assess geopolitical risks using price indicators: oil price, gas price, freight rates. This is understandable – but incomplete. Because the real operational challenge often arises earlier: through declining predictability. The IEA estimates oil transit through Hormuz at around 20 mb/d, classifying it as about a quarter of global seaborne oil trade. For LNG,…
When delivery capability falters, the organization usually responds with more activity: more meetings, more escalations, more lists. At the same time, there is often a desire for a large transformation program. This is understandable – programs provide structure. However, in tense situations, structure without decision-making ability is just a pretty shell. Stabilization is therefore not…
As of March 2, 2026 (Europe/Berlin) – The situation surrounding Iran, Israel/USA, and the regional security architecture remains highly dynamic. But it is precisely at times like these that it is worth taking a sober look at what is often overlooked: Not every serious military conflict ends with a change in the political system. And…
It usually starts unspectacularly: a delayed input, an unclarified scope point, a “short” change. Then things get hectic: more regular meetings, more status rounds, more Excel versions. And at some point, someone stands up in the steering committee and says: “This has developed so quickly.” The uncomfortable truth: it rarely develops quickly. It develops invisibly.…
AI can transform operations: better decisions, fewer manual tasks, faster turnaround times. At the same time, many companies are experiencing the opposite: more exceptions, more discussions, less trust. The reason is rarely “the model.” It is almost always the process. Why automation increases instability Automation – whether RPA, workflows, or GenAI – reinforces existing patterns:…
Why “busy” does not mean that the project is running smoothly Many construction projects appear productive from the outside: lots of people involved, busy sites, ongoing deliveries. Nevertheless, delays, rework, and conflicts arise. Often, the cause is not a lack of performance, but a lack of work rhythm: the cycle is missing. Cycle planning is…